Publication
Qiu, Zhuoyu. “Punching Out, Not Down: The Impact of Paid Sick Leave on Child Maltreatment.” Labour Economics (2026): 102958. [SSRN working paper] [slides] [poster] [code]
Presented at: ACLEC 2025 Poster Session, APPAM 2025, CEA 2025, ISCLE 2025, SEA 2025
Abstract
Child maltreatment has lasting consequences, but little is known about how flexible workplace protections affect child safety. This paper examines whether paid sick leave (PSL) mandates reduce reported maltreatment. Using incident-level data from the National Incident-Based Reporting System from 2007 to 2019 and an event study design, I find that PSL mandates lead to an annual 10 percent decline in reported child victims per agency, driven primarily by reductions in physical abuse. The effects are larger for cases involving female offenders and differ by victim gender: boys are less likely to experience physical abuse, while girls are less likely to experience sexual abuse. The impacts are greatest among Black children and in counties with higher poverty and lower median income. Mechanism analyses suggest two key pathways: limited exposure to higher-risk male caregivers and improved maternal well-being through greater financial security and health.
Job Market Paper
Gender Peer Effects and Women’s Academic Performance in Mathematics: Evidence from a U.S. University [draft]
Abstract
Understanding how educational environments shape women’s mathematics achievement and persistence can help explain their continued underrepresentation in mathematics-intensive fields despite rising educational attainment. This paper examines classroom gender composition using administrative records for freshmen entering a selective U.S. public university between 2016 and 2023. I exploit variation in female peer share across classes in a specific introductory mathematics course taught by a given instructor within an academic term, allowing shared instructional conditions to affect women’s and men’s outcomes differently. A 10-percentage-point increase in female peer share raises women’s probability of completing introductory mathematics by approximately 3.1 percentage points and earning C- or better by approximately 3.4 percentage points. On average, exposure to 10 more female classmates leads to about 1.4 additional mathematics completions among women per class. Both women and men experience improvements in broader first-quarter academic progress, with limited evidence of gender differences in the baseline effects. The findings are robust to alternative control specifications, accounting for gender composition in other courses and parallel mathematics classes, and excluding pandemic-entry cohorts. Women’s benefits are concentrated among students who declared a STEM major at entry, while comparable positive effects do not emerge in other entry-term subjects. Longer-term estimates provide suggestive evidence of increased STEM degree attainment among women entering with a declared STEM major.
Selected Work in Progress
Effects of Faculty Gender Attitudes on College Students’ Short- and Long-Term Outcomes
With Radhika Bansal, Ozkan Eren, Krzysztof Karbownik, and Ruinan Zhao
Abstract
This paper investigates whether and how college instructors’ implicit gender biases affect student achievement, with particular attention to female students and persistence in STEM fields. Using administrative data from a top-tier public university (2013–2024) linked to faculty responses on the Gender-Science Implicit Association Test (IAT), we examine how unconscious gender attitudes shape disparities in course grades, GPA, major selection, and time to graduation. We address three questions: (1) Do instructors’ implicit gender attitudes affect student academic outcomes and STEM persistence? (2) Are these effects heterogeneous across student subgroups, including women first-generation students, and underrepresented minorities? (3) How does implicit faculty bias contribute to persistent gender gaps in academic and professional fields? Preliminary findings reveal that female students taught by instructors with stronger implicit gender bias are more likely to deviate from their declared majors and less likely to graduate on time. These results carry important implications for faculty development, bias-awareness initiatives, and inclusive pedagogy, and shed light on how implicit gender bias may reinforce broader disparities in STEM participation and the labor market.
The Impact of Marriage Tax Bonus and Penalty on Marital Decisions in the U.S.
With Zhe Yang
Abstract
The US tax system is not marriage-neutral, creating incentives and disincentives for marriage. This paper re-examines the impact of marriage tax bonus and penalty on flows into and out of marriage. We calculate the ratio of marriage bonuses and after-tax income for each couple (MB-to-income ratio), which measures the relative value of marriage bonus and penalty faced by the family and thus allows us to set apart the effects on couples of different income levels. To cope with the empirical challenges that marriage bonus and penalty are endogenous to couples’ decisions on marital status, we create an instrument that captures the exogenous changes in MB-to-income ratio. Using a whole representative sample of couples in each year, we calculate the couple’s MB-to-income ratio under each states tax policy and then take the averages at the level of women’s residential state and the demographic groups defined by their race, education level, and age level. The instrument exploits the variations in marriage bonus and penalty across states and the demographic groups and captures couples’ unobservable characteristics on the basis of women’s demographic groups. We show that our instrument has no statistically significant correlation to the factors explaining the marriage market and the conditions shaping couples’ preference towards marriages. We investigate flow into and out of marriages by using the data from the Survey of Income Program and Participation. Flow data can capture couples’ behavior response to policy changes and verify the asymmetric decisions of marriage entry and exit. Our results show that, for cohabitating couples, 1% increase in MB-to-income ratio leads to 0.12% increase in the likelihood of getting married. As for married couples, the elasticity of MB-to-income ratio to the likelihood of marital dissolution is -0.14%.
Technical/Policy Reports
Bates, Michael, Eric Calderone, Elvira De La Torre, Pedro Freire, Jingyan Guo, Gregory B. Hutchins, KeAysia Jackson, Manisha Kapoor, Fatima Nelson, Zhuoyu Qiu, Ellen Reese, Gary Rettberg, and Beth Tamayose. “The State of Work in the Inland Empire Part II: Pandemic, Polarization, Inflation, and Investment.” (2024). Inland Empire Labor and Community Center and Center for Social Innovation, University of California, Riverside.
Summary
“Most Inland Empire Jobs Don’t Pay Enough to Raise a Family”
This report examines the Transportation, Distribution, and Logistics (TDL) sector's impact in the Inland Empire (IE), analyzing employment trends, working conditions, and environmental effects on surrounding communities. It calls for policy interventions to strengthen labor standards, arguing that the region's economic growth from TDL should be balanced against worker welfare and community well-being.
Bainiwal, Tejpaul Singh, Michael Bates, Marissa Brookes, Sara Bruene, Eric Calderone, Natalie Carranza, Elvira De La Torre, Pedro Freire, Catherine Gudis, Jingyang Guo, Gregory B. Hutchins, KeAysia Jackson, Manisha Kapoor, Fatima Nelson, Zhuoyu Qiu, Ellen Reese, Gary Rettberg, Beth Tamayose, and Athena Tan. “The State of Work: Transportation, Distribution, and Logistics in the Inland Empire.” (2024). Inland Empire Labor and Community Center and Center for Social Innovation, University of California, Riverside.
Summary
“Packing Jobs in the Inland Empire: Just $520 a Month Left After Rent”
This report provides a snapshot of the labor market and working conditions in the Inland Empire (IE). We document how changes over the last five years, including those related to investment, inflation, and the COVID-19 pandemic, have impacted workers’ employment outcomes, working conditions, and well-being. This analysis marries diverse perspectives from personal narratives from workers collected through in-depth interviews (collected in English and Spanish) with a vast array of quantitative data on labor market conditions.
Bates, Michael, Marissa Brookes, Sara Bruene, John Burnett, Eric Calderone, Aranzazu Carbajal, Elvira De La Torre, Jingyan Guo, Gregory B. Hutchins, Manisha Kapoor, Metia Mukenge, Fatima Nelson, Zhuoyu Qiu, Sonia Rana, Ellen Reese, Gary Rettberg, Indiana Salam, and Beth Tamayose. “Thrive Inland SoCal: Labor Market Analysis.” (2024). Inland Empire Labor and Community Center and Center for Social Innovation, University of California, Riverside.
Summary
“Only 1 in 4 Inland Empire Workers Has a ‘Quality Job’”
This report analyzes the labor market across Riverside and San Bernardino Counties, identifying the financial, social, educational, and environmental barriers workers face in accessing quality employment. It also surveys existing “high-road” workforce programs aimed at improving job quality and expanding worker access to better opportunities.
Public Engagement & Briefings
- Human Relations Commission, City of Riverside — Riverside, CA, Jul 25, 2024
- Building Worker Power in the Inland Empire, James Irvine Foundation Community Convening — Riverside, CA, Jul 2024
- Inland Empire Labor Council Strategic Planning Retreat — Ontario, CA, Apr 29, 2024
- Rising Voices, Seeds of Change Conference, Center for Community Action and Environmental Justice — California State University, San Bernardino, CA, Apr 4, 2024
- Transportation, Distribution, and Logistics, Report Release Event — Teamsters Local 1932 Training Center, San Bernardino, CA, Feb 28, 2024
- State of Work in the Inland Empire, Part II, Report Release Event — University of California, Riverside, CA, Nov 15, 2023
