Publication
Qiu, Zhuoyu. “Punching Out, Not Down: The Impact of Paid Sick Leave on Child Maltreatment.” Labour Economics (2026): 102958.
Abstract
Child maltreatment has lasting consequences, but little is known about how flexible workplace protections affect child safety. This paper examines whether paid sick leave (PSL) mandates reduce reported maltreatment. Using incident-level data from the National Incident-Based Reporting System from 2007 to 2019 and an event study design, I find that PSL mandates lead to an annual 10 percent decline in reported child victims per agency, driven primarily by reductions in physical abuse. The effects are larger for cases involving female offenders and differ by victim gender: boys are less likely to experience physical abuse, while girls are less likely to experience sexual abuse. The impacts are greatest among Black children and in counties with higher poverty and lower median income. Mechanism analyses suggest two key pathways: limited exposure to higher-risk male caregivers and improved maternal well-being through greater financial security and health.
Job Market Paper
Gender Peer Effects and Women’s STEM Attainment: Evidence from a U.S. University
Draft coming soon
This paper examines the effects of peer gender composition on students’ academic progress using administrative records for freshmen entering a top-tier research university between 2016 and 2023. I focus on introductory mathematics courses taken in the entry quarter, which provide a foundation for subsequent coursework, and examine both course completion and broader first-quarter academic progress. The identification strategy exploits idiosyncratic variation in female peer share across teaching sections within the same math course. The baseline estimates indicate that a 10-percentage-point increase in female peer share raises female students’ probability of completing introductory mathematics by 1.6 percentage points and increases the share of first-quarter courses completed by the same magnitude. These findings are robust to controlling for peer gender composition in other courses and excluding cohorts entering during the COVID-19 pandemic. The improvements in academic progress are concentrated among female students who declared a STEM major at entry. Further evidence suggests that greater exposure to female classmates also increases women’s likelihood of graduating with a STEM degree. Together, these findings highlight the role of classroom gender composition in supporting women’s early academic progress and subsequent STEM attainment.
Selected Work in Progress
Effects of Faculty Gender Attitudes on College Students’ Short- and Long-Term Outcomes
With Ozkan Eren, Krzysztof Karbownik, and Ruinan Zhao
Abstract
This paper investigates whether and how college instructors’ implicit gender biases affect student achievement, with particular attention to female students and persistence in STEM fields. Using administrative data from a top-tier public university (2013–2024) linked to faculty responses on the Gender-Science Implicit Association Test (IAT), we examine how unconscious gender attitudes shape disparities in course grades, GPA, major selection, and time to graduation. We address three questions: (1) Do instructors’ implicit gender attitudes affect student academic outcomes and STEM persistence? (2) Are these effects heterogeneous across student subgroups, including women first-generation students, and underrepresented minorities? (3) How does implicit faculty bias contribute to persistent gender gaps in academic and professional fields? Preliminary findings reveal that female students taught by instructors with stronger implicit gender bias are more likely to deviate from their declared majors and less likely to graduate on time. These results carry important implications for faculty development, bias-awareness initiatives, and inclusive pedagogy, and shed light on how implicit gender bias may reinforce broader disparities in STEM participation and the labor market.
The Impact of Marriage Tax Bonus and Penalty on Marital Decisions in the U.S.
With Zhe Yang
Abstract
The US tax system is not marriage-neutral, creating incentives and disincentives for marriage. This paper re-examines the impact of marriage tax bonus and penalty on flows into and out of marriage. We calculate the ratio of marriage bonuses and after-tax income for each couple (MB-to-income ratio), which measures the relative value of marriage bonus and penalty faced by the family and thus allows us to set apart the effects on couples of different income levels. To cope with the empirical challenges that marriage bonus and penalty are endogenous to couples’ decisions on marital status, we create an instrument that captures the exogenous changes in MB-to-income ratio. Using a whole representative sample of couples in each year, we calculate the couple’s MB-to-income ratio under each states tax policy and then take the averages at the level of women’s residential state and the demographic groups defined by their race, education level, and age level. The instrument exploits the variations in marriage bonus and penalty across states and the demographic groups and captures couples’ unobservable characteristics on the basis of women’s demographic groups. We show that our instrument has no statistically significant correlation to the factors explaining the marriage market and the conditions shaping couples’ preference towards marriages. We investigate flow into and out of marriages by using the data from the Survey of Income Program and Participation. Flow data can capture couples’ behavior response to policy changes and verify the asymmetric decisions of marriage entry and exit. Our results show that, for cohabitating couples, 1% increase in MB-to-income ratio leads to 0.12% increase in the likelihood of getting married. As for married couples, the elasticity of MB-to-income ratio to the likelihood of marital dissolution is -0.14%.
Technical/Policy Reports
Bates, Michael, Eric Calderone, Elvira De La Torre, Pedro Freire, Jingyan Guo, Gregory B. Hutchins, KeAysia Jackson, Manisha Kapoor, Fatima Nelson, Zhuoyu Qiu, Ellen Reese, Gary Rettberg, and Beth Tamayose. “The State of Work in the Inland Empire Part II: Pandemic, Polarization, Inflation, and Investment.” (2024). Inland Empire Labor and Community Center and Center for Social Innovation, University of California, Riverside.
Bainiwal, Tejpaul Singh, Michael Bates, Marissa Brookes, Sara Bruene, Eric Calderone, Natalie Carranza, Elvira De La Torre, Pedro Freire, Catherine Gudis, Jingyang Guo, Gregory B. Hutchins, KeAysia Jackson, Manisha Kapoor, Fatima Nelson, Zhuoyu Qiu, Ellen Reese, Gary Rettberg, Beth Tamayose, and Athena Tan. “The State of Work: Transportation, Distribution, and Logistics in the Inland Empire.” (2024). Inland Empire Labor and Community Center and Center for Social Innovation, University of California, Riverside.
Bates, Michael, Marissa Brookes, Sara Bruene, John Burnett, Eric Calderone, Aranzazu Carbajal, Elvira De La Torre, Jingyan Guo, Gregory B. Hutchins, Manisha Kapoor, Metia Mukenge, Fatima Nelson, Zhuoyu Qiu, Sonia Rana, Ellen Reese, Gary Rettberg, Indiana Salam, and Beth Tamayose. “Thrive Inland SoCal: Labor Market Analysis.” (2024). Inland Empire Labor and Community Center and Center for Social Innovation, University of California, Riverside.
